Clinical decision support

Guidelines & calculators

Practice guidelines and risk calculators

Third-party guidelines and prediction tools relevant to perianal Crohn’s disease, each independently verified against PubMed. These are external documents and tools — linked, not reproduced, and not evidence-gated by this site.

Read the access and validation labels. Very few published IBD prediction tools are simultaneously a live free calculator, externally validated, and validated for the decision you are about to make. Where a tool is formula-only, or was validated only in its derivation cohort, that is stated rather than hidden behind a link. 6 further item(s) found by this review are withheld pending clinician sign-off rather than published unverified.

Practice guidelines

Risk calculators and prediction tools

  • MRI-based prediction model for anti-TNF treatment failure in perianal Crohn's disease formula only — no calculatorderivation cohort onlyEstimates the probability of clinical anti-TNF failure at 6 months in biologic-naive adults starting their first anti-TNF for perianal fistula — i.e. helps decide whether to plan combined medical-surgical therapy up front. · PMID 38122958 Note: INTERNALLY VALIDATED ONLY, in the derivation cohort (n=221, retrospective, multicentre 2005-2022). Discrimination is only fair — concordance statistic 0.67 (full) and 0.65 (simplified MRI-only) — so it should inform discussion, not gate a decision. No external validation and no published web calculator; the model must be applied from the article. Requires central-quality MRI re-read, which most centres will not replicate.
  • 3D transrectal ultrasound nomogram for early biologic treatment failure in perianal fistulising Crohn's disease formula only — no calculatorderivation cohort onlyPredicts early failure of biologic therapy (stable or aggravated disease on MRI at ~12 weeks) from pre-treatment 3D-TRUS parameters. · PMID 42024671 Note: TREAT WITH STRONG SCEPTICISM. Reported training AUC of 0.955 from only 3 predictors in 80 patients is implausibly high and almost certainly optimistic; the 'external' validation cohort is a single second hospital with just 22 patients, which cannot meaningfully confirm calibration. Retrospective, two-centre, and 3D-TRUS is not widely available or standardised. Not ready for individual patient decisions.

Also on MDCalc

These are established instruments already hosted as free, working calculators by MDCalc. We link them rather than rebuild them — our own decision-support tools above cover what MDCalc does not, and every link below was verified against MDCalc directly.

  • Montreal Classification for IBD live calculatorclassificationAssigns Montreal extent (E1-E3) and severity (S0-S3) for UC, and age / location / behaviour (A, L, B) for Crohn's. Note: A PHENOTYPE classification, not a prediction model. Extent should be recorded as the maximum ever documented, not the most recent endoscopic appearance, which underestimates true extent in quiescent disease.
  • Crohn's Disease Activity Index (CDAI) live calculatoractivity indexThe historical primary endpoint in Crohn's trials; requires a 7-day patient diary plus labs. Note: Correlates POORLY with endoscopic inflammation — a normal CDAI does not exclude active disease. Explicitly invalid in stricturing/fistulising disease, after extensive resection, and in patients with a stoma. Pair with CRP/faecal calprotectin and imaging.
  • Harvey-Bradshaw Index (HBI) for Crohn's Disease live calculatoractivity indexThe single-day simplified CDAI used in clinic; remission conventionally <5. Note: Symptom-driven, so it shares CDAI's blindness to endoscopic activity. The severity bands are from the literature, not from MDCalc's page.
  • Simplified Endoscopic Activity Score for Crohn's Disease (SES-CD) live calculatorendoscopicEndoscopic activity in Crohn's: ulcer size, ulcerated and affected surface, and stenosis across five segments. Note: Requires full ileocolonoscopy with all five segments assessed; a partial exam is not scoreable. Objective counterpart to the symptom-based CDAI/HBI.

Guideline summaries hosted by MDCalc: